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The Coming Automation Onslaught
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For insurance, it's not particularly surprising. All that stuff is already determined on complex formulas derived by actuaries and computer models.
It will be interesting to see the wider reaching implications though.Need parts now? Need them cheap? steve@blunttech.com
Chief Sales Officer, Midwest Division—Blunt Tech Industries
www.gutenparts.com
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Like you said in the other thread, everything is driven by cost. As such we should be safe until the initial cost of investment is low (like temp worker low) and long term reliability is high.
I'd figure on 10-20 years before it can really make a dent in the workforce.
Let's not forget that those of us from developed nations, when displaced by AI, will probably go work in less developed nations where two hands cannot as easily be replaced by a computer for the same reasons above.
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Or just have a skill set that cant be replaced by automation. There has been quite a bit of automation developed in my industry, and yet they pay us MORE to run the more automated systems than using the old school analog manual methodsOriginally posted by FusionIf a car is the epitome of freedom, than an electric car is house arrest with your wife titty fucking your next door neighbor.
The Desire to Save Humanity is Always a False Front for the Urge to Rule it- H. L. Mencken
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants.
William Pitt-
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Originally posted by mrsleeve View PostOr just have a skill set that cant be replaced by automation.
My job, as a ui/ux designer, can eventually be replaced. Eventually there will be enough data about human thought patterns that optimal layout and placement of images, nav, text, etc, will be spit out by a computer, overlayed with a pleasing style of color and font choice. Is this going to happen tomorrow? No. 20 years? Maybe. Or in 20 years, maybe it won't be completely replaced but an automated alternative that is halfway decent will drive salaries down far enough that it won't be really profitable to be in this field anymore.
I can't speak too much about your job (since I don't know it too well) but what I do know I can theorize on. You drive to remote locations to check welds in pipes. A solar powered drone can also fly there, and with remote scanning, check the welds as well. Or an internal drone can drive down inside the pipes and check welds as they go. There's no reason that can't be done.
Those writing the automation software will probably be the last to go. But they'll go too when we reach the singularity.AWD > RWD
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Honestly, I imagine it will create a short period of time where people lose jobs.
On the other hand, it is a situation that will balance out. If you put enough people out of work, how will you sell your product that is now produced by computers?No E30 ClubOriginally posted by MrBurgundyAnyways, mustangs are gay and mini vans are faster than your car, you just have to deal with that.
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Just how would such a scanning device work? Until we have developed star trek like sensors and devices. Yes there are already smart pigs that have a limited ability to nd anomalies welds. You still need human experience to interpret the results of the those tests. Most of the big transmission systems have plane or helo in the air flying over sections of the r.o.w every day, to cover the system in given time.Originally posted by FusionIf a car is the epitome of freedom, than an electric car is house arrest with your wife titty fucking your next door neighbor.
The Desire to Save Humanity is Always a False Front for the Urge to Rule it- H. L. Mencken
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants.
William Pitt-
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Originally posted by Kershaw View PostThose writing the automation software will probably be the last to go. But they'll go too when we reach the singularity.past:
1989 325is (learner shitbox)
1986 325e (turbo dorito)
1991 318ic (5-lug ITB)
1985 323i baur
current:
1995 M3 (suspension, 17x9/255-40, borla)
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Originally posted by mrsleeve View PostJust how would such a scanning device work? Until we have developed star trek like sensors and devices. Yes there are already smart pigs that have a limited ability to nd anomalies welds. You still need human experience to interpret the results of the those tests. Most of the big transmission systems have plane or helo in the air flying over sections of the r.o.w every day, to cover the system in given time.
we should be concerned at what happens when we can automate enough jobs to displace a significant enough portion of the working population.
Not everyone can be a camwhore for extra spending money lol
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Thank you nando, there are smart tools that have a very limited ability for specific weld anomalies. Smart tools have been in use for a very long time, and areally costly,up wards of a million bucks a run in some cases. You still have to have a well seasoned and experienced person interpreting the data generated from those runs which is 99% looking for pipe wall anomalies and coating issues. And yes weld inspection is not that easy.
Smart tools are mostly used on integrity intervals for systems that are inservice. Yes a limited run is made after construction but looking dents mostly. During construction, or when doing dig ups for integrity work inspection is far more rigorous.Originally posted by FusionIf a car is the epitome of freedom, than an electric car is house arrest with your wife titty fucking your next door neighbor.
The Desire to Save Humanity is Always a False Front for the Urge to Rule it- H. L. Mencken
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants.
William Pitt-
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Originally posted by BraveUlysses View Postare they only used during construction or are they used at regular intervals to check for problems?
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they say the next generation of aircraft will be pilotless or have a single pilot that babysits the computers in the event something goes wrong. i hope not to see this in my lifetime. since my son is studying to be a pilot also, i hope not to see it in his either. since he has 42 years before his hits retirement age, i would say it will be a problem for him.sigpic
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