Mortgage interest deductions cost the Treasury as much as $130 billion per year in lost tax revenue. Consider just how much that is. If the cost of subsidizing mortgage interest were a line item in the federal budget, it'd rank as the seventh costliest -- just ahead of education and veterans benefits. The federal government spends more money subsidizing mortgages than on anything other than defense, entitlements, unemployment insurance, and interest.
The Tax Policy Center crunched the numbers and found that a complete elimination of the mortgage interest deduction would raise taxes on only 21.5% of middle-income workers, with an average increase of just $215 a year. The bulk of the increase would fall on the top 10% of wage earners. It's about as progressive as it gets.
Since only those who itemize deductions gain from the credit, the answer is likely no. If you itemize deductions, you're probably relatively wealthy. And if you're relatively wealthy, you're probably going to own rather than rent regardless of tax incentives.
There are good historical examples backing this up. Homeownership rates in the U.K. actually rose after it eliminated a mortgage interest deduction in 2000, from approximately 70% to around 72% by 2005. Furthermore, homeownership rates in the U.S. are roughly equal to those in Canada and Australia, both of which don't allow mortgage interest deduction. The correlation between mortgage interest deductions and homeownership rates seems elusive.
Here's another example: Credit card interest used to be tax deductible until President Ronald Reagan signed the Tax Reform Act of 1986. If you follow the logic of those protesting elimination of the mortgage interest deduction, this should have caused credit card balances to drop as the benefit to borrowers diminished. Instead, balances grew 11% between 1986 and 1987.
There are good historical examples backing this up. Homeownership rates in the U.K. actually rose after it eliminated a mortgage interest deduction in 2000, from approximately 70% to around 72% by 2005. Furthermore, homeownership rates in the U.S. are roughly equal to those in Canada and Australia, both of which don't allow mortgage interest deduction. The correlation between mortgage interest deductions and homeownership rates seems elusive.
Here's another example: Credit card interest used to be tax deductible until President Ronald Reagan signed the Tax Reform Act of 1986. If you follow the logic of those protesting elimination of the mortgage interest deduction, this should have caused credit card balances to drop as the benefit to borrowers diminished. Instead, balances grew 11% between 1986 and 1987.
Comment