Global Warming is over.

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  • CorvallisBMW
    Long Schlong Longhammer
    • Feb 2005
    • 13039

    #751
    Originally posted by Fusion
    On a similar note, climate and weather science is beginning to prove that the Egyptian civilization is much older than we've been taught. Thousands or even tens of thousands older.
    So get ready to burn all your history books.
    lolwut

    Comment

    • rwh11385
      lance_entities
      • Oct 2003
      • 18403

      #752
      Originally posted by CorvallisBMW
      lolwut
      I dunno. Maybe he forgets that it is usually only the skeptics that would be shocked the world is older than 6000 years old. Of course, there are some deniers of that too. I've had people complain that carbon dating is bullshit science too...

      Comment

      • Fusion
        No R3VLimiter
        • Nov 2009
        • 3658

        #753
        Seems like you forgot about the dinosaur farts. That a bit more than 6000 years.
        The Sphinx in Giza is believed to be made in 2500bc. Dating it to 10000bc or older basically changes everything we've learned about the history of human civilizations.

        Comment

        • rwh11385
          lance_entities
          • Oct 2003
          • 18403

          #754
          Originally posted by Fusion
          Seems like you forgot about the dinosaur farts. That a bit more than 6000 years.
          The Sphinx in Giza is believed to be made in 2500bc. Dating it to 10000bc or older basically changes everything we've learned about the history of human civilizations.
          Apparently you are not very familiar with American GOP party... yet keep trying to act relevant to our political discussion. The majority of Republicans don't believe the world existed 10,000 bc. Some of the same people don't believe fossils exist, or were just placed there, or that Creationism should be taught as science. And these same people are the global warming deniers.





          The 46% of Americans who today believe that God created humans in their present form is essentially the same as it has been over the past 30 years. Highly religious Americans and Republicans are most likely to hold this view.



          But "Young Creationists" decrease with education, so therefore it must be academic indoctrination that are brain washing them to believe the world is older than they read originally.




          If there is evidence that Egyptians predated what we had assumed they existed during, cool, I'm all for learning and truth. But not a lot of people are in America - as demonstrated by the anti-science stance of most GOP supporters.

          Comment

          • Fusion
            No R3VLimiter
            • Nov 2009
            • 3658

            #755
            Oh stunning information you have there. Now you're going to go around claiming something fact because you think half your fellow citizens are idiots?

            For results based on the sample of –534—national adults in Form A and –490—national adults in Form B, the maximum margins of sampling error are ±5 percentage points.
            Interviews were conducted among a random sample of 1,013 adults 18 years of age or older in the continental United States (301 respondents were interviewed on a cell phone).
            Since you have a percentage fetish, that's 0.00032216003053046687% of the population

            Comment

            • nando
              Moderator
              • Nov 2003
              • 34827

              #756
              somebody failed statistics 101
              Build thread

              Bimmerlabs

              Comment

              • rwh11385
                lance_entities
                • Oct 2003
                • 18403

                #757
                Originally posted by Fusion
                Oh stunning information you have there. Now you're going to go around claiming something fact because you think half your fellow citizens are idiots?




                Since you have a percentage fetish, that's 0.00032216003053046687% of the population
                Ha. Dude, seriously? You're now trying to argue against the Gallup polling, or the practice of polling itself and random sample sizes?

                Originally posted by nando
                somebody failed statistics 101
                True story. Or never took it...

                But at least he points out how ridiculous those people are about numbers, science, math, etc.

                Comment

                • nando
                  Moderator
                  • Nov 2003
                  • 34827

                  #758
                  it's almost as if the more extreme right leaning you are the less educated you are.

                  My mom is in that tea party group.. :(
                  Build thread

                  Bimmerlabs

                  Comment

                  • Fusion
                    No R3VLimiter
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 3658

                    #759
                    Originally posted by nando
                    somebody failed statistics 101
                    explain

                    Comment

                    • nando
                      Moderator
                      • Nov 2003
                      • 34827

                      #760
                      random samples = you don't need as many samples to create an accurate poll

                      1000 samples is more than enough for 90+% accuracy. hell, they even tell you what the margin of error is - 5%.

                      I know it's hard to believe but even though everyone thinks they're a unique little flower, you can actually predict quite accurately what most people think from a much smaller subset if the sample is random.
                      Build thread

                      Bimmerlabs

                      Comment

                      • rwh11385
                        lance_entities
                        • Oct 2003
                        • 18403

                        #761
                        Originally posted by Fusion
                        explain
                        Like he said, this is the most basic principle of statistics and included in every introductory course about it. Anyone who has even a tiny bit of knowledge about statistics or polling would not have made the ignorant objection that you did.

                        http://www.publicagenda.org/pages/be...d-margin-error
                        The bigger the sample, the smaller the margin of error, but once you get past a certain point -- say, a sample size of 800 or 1,000 — the improvement is very small. The results of a survey of 300 people will likely be correct within 6 percentage points, while a survey of 1,000 will be correct within 3 percentage points, a lower margin of error. But that is where the dramatic differences end — when a sample is increased to 2,000 respondents, the margin of error drops only slightly, to 2 percentage points.

                        When respondents to be interviewed are selected at random, every adult has an equal probability of falling into the sample. The typical sample size for a Gallup poll, either a traditional stand-alone poll or one night's interviewing from Gallup's Daily tracking, is 1,000 national adults with a margin of error of ±4 percentage points. Gallup's Daily tracking process now allows Gallup analysts to aggregate larger groups of interviews for more detailed subgroup analysis. But the accuracy of the estimates derived only marginally improves with larger sample sizes.

                        That fact that you don't know this, or questioned the validity of either poll which clearly stated the confidence interval shows again you are absolutely clueless.

                        Comment

                        • Fusion
                          No R3VLimiter
                          • Nov 2009
                          • 3658

                          #762
                          That's not the point, I added that cute number to make voltlover's groin itch.
                          Using a gallup poll as an argument to back up something you believe in because your narcicism makes you think you're never wrong, that's retarded.

                          Comment

                          • rwh11385
                            lance_entities
                            • Oct 2003
                            • 18403

                            #763
                            Originally posted by nando
                            it's almost as if the more extreme right leaning you are the less educated you are.

                            My mom is in that tea party group.. :(
                            Yeah, it seems that way, doesn't it? Especially the few around here. But statistical profile isn't much different from the general population:

                            Tea Party supporters skew Republican and conservative politically; but in terms of their age, education, employment, and other basic demographic characteristics, they are generally representative of the public at large.



                            It's a wash with sampling error. Maybe it's just a result of letting desired conclusions dictate source selection, or choosing to be close-minded and ignorant rather than lacking of ability.

                            Comment

                            • rwh11385
                              lance_entities
                              • Oct 2003
                              • 18403

                              #764
                              Originally posted by Fusion
                              That's not the point, I added that cute number to make voltlover's groin itch.
                              Using a gallup poll as an argument to back up something you believe in because your narcicism makes you think you're never wrong, that's retarded.
                              Oh no, you have clearly offended or upset me by again demonstrating how little you understand, yet want to argue against it.


                              The original point was that your trying to shock people about the difference in time periods for the Egyptians would only generally offend the people on your denier side. The Gallup polls and other data backed up the correlation between global warming skepticism and young earth creationism beliefs.

                              But the subsequent one was that you again demonstrated you talk shit about things you have no understanding of. You being oblivious of basic, general knowledge make you unaware that you don't have the foundation necessary to engage in any bit of an informed discussion.

                              Comment

                              • Fusion
                                No R3VLimiter
                                • Nov 2009
                                • 3658

                                #765
                                But the point before that point before that one was that scientists can agree all they want (ie. Sphinx date), but also be proven wrong by those who are sceptical or have a different angle of opinion. That does not mean that everything a scientist claims is wrong, it means that no right is given to you and you alarmist buddies to claim something "proven", "concluded", and to label everyone else brainwashed idiots.
                                Hell, even through all my doubt, maybe that Jesus figure will show up one day. Who knows?

                                But I could give two bagels with diarrhea filling about what you think. It's people like you who pull this crap into legislation all over the world and create stupid laws and regulations.

                                Comment

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