Originally posted by roguetoaster
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Simon
Current Cars:
-1999 996.1 911 4/98 3.8L 6-Speed, 21st Century Beetle
Make R3V Great Again -2020
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Originally posted by flyboyx View Post
well, on the positive side: at work she gets to look at vaginas all day.
seriously, though...sorry to hear that she is out of work. my wife is too.
Originally posted by 2mAn View PostShe can stay busy waxing Mr Melon...
Shit hurts, like legit painful.
She's been spending time with her daughter since she's stuck here with us which is awesome.
I do things.
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Originally posted by roguetoaster View Post
Nice!
It is very rare, I've never heard of it, to get a raise mid year. Hopefully you'll get that raise!1990 325is
m52b28
3.73lsd
g260 (1987 325is 5spd tranny)
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Originally posted by 2mAn View Post
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019...ses-in-us.html- Total cases: 186,101
- Total deaths: 3,603
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2004500]This study[/url] found the average time from symptom start to ICU admission to be 7±4 days, then those that died, died within 18 days of admission.
So even if we say that the average is 7+(18/2), that's a 2.5 week lag in your death number.
But then if you look back 2.5 weeks, the numbers don't actually make any sense because the testing was not happening.
Originally posted by priapismMy girl don't know shit, but she bakes a mean cupcake.Originally posted by shamesonUsually it's best not to know how much money you have into your e30
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Just want to make clear that I'm not saying that the mortality rate is way higher than you suggest, just that I don't believe the method is reasonable while cases are still growing, especially at this rate (which may be inflated from testing delays anyway)Originally posted by priapismMy girl don't know shit, but she bakes a mean cupcake.Originally posted by shamesonUsually it's best not to know how much money you have into your e30
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The talk of numbers and rates of change and mortality ITT is pretty pointless, imo. Garbage in: garbage out. With the shortage of test kits and lack of test that is fast and practical to do on everyone who is showing symptoms, the numbers in can't be anything but garbage so the results are the same. It will be quite a while before we have some numbers which are sound and believable, speculating on it is a waste of time. Doesn't help that the gov't is just now admitting that China's numbers are not believable, it has been obvious that official news out of China is a lie to anyone who has actually been watching this critically. When China said there was no evidence of person to person transmission and the WHO parroted that propaganda point I lost all trust in them and luckily had begun preparing for this to happen. People make fun of you for preparing for just about anything so I just kept it quiet, hopefully those people learn from this.
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varg I agree with you that the numbers arent really accurate, but isnt it nice that we're still below the "3%" than much higher? Again, Im not expecting it to stay so low because the US didnt get locked down and still isnt as locked down as it likely should be so the spread will continue and the numbers will grow. That being said the "100k-240k" death claim still seems quite high IMO especially if he is expecting that in the next 2 weeks which is what it sounded like... dammit getting too close to the P&R again!...
back to nonsense, my working from home has allowed me more garage time so Ive been knocking out a lot more small items, and spending more time in the garage. This helps keep a sense of normalcy among everything else that isnt normal right nowSimon
Current Cars:
-1999 996.1 911 4/98 3.8L 6-Speed, 21st Century Beetle
Make R3V Great Again -2020
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Originally posted by varg View PostThe talk of numbers and rates of change and mortality ITT is pretty pointless, imo. Garbage in: garbage out. With the shortage of test kits and lack of test that is fast and practical to do on everyone who is showing symptoms, the numbers in can't be anything but garbage so the results are the same. It will be quite a while before we have some numbers which are sound and believable, speculating on it is a waste of time. Doesn't help that the gov't is just now admitting that China's numbers are not believable, it has been obvious that official news out of China is a lie to anyone who has actually been watching this critically. When China said there was no evidence of person to person transmission and the WHO parroted that propaganda point I lost all trust in them and luckily had begun preparing for this to happen. People make fun of you for preparing for just about anything so I just kept it quiet, hopefully those people learn from this.Data in Virginia Stay up-to-date on Virginia COVID-19 trends, vaccination data, and more. For Healthcare Professionals VDH’s up-to-date COVID-19 resources for health professionals in Virginia.
Virginia is testing just over 10 people for every confirmed case and the Comonwealth has been sitting around 20th for number of cases, currently 1,700 cases out of 17,000 tested, so I don't think testing is the bottleneck or roadblock is was a couple of weeks ago.
Confirmed cases isn't the "true" metric of prevalence of infection, but it's the best indicator we have of how close we are to the "really bad" projection... so we're starting to look a lot better relative to hitting that really bad projection.
worldometers shows US cases doubled in just under 5 days with 4/01 data. If we add the same number of cases today as we did yesterday, the doubling time will be over 5 days.
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What's needed is and antibody test kit that fast and cheap to deploy and maunfacture. To start test vast swaths to the general population. That will tell us just how many people have already had this and recovered and never sought medical help. That will give us a better Idea of just how large the mortality rate is, I suspect this bug has been running rampant in the US for much longer than the last 2 months.
The cases we see in the medical wards are the worst of the worst and have taken a while to get that way.
I am not saying this is no big deal but I do think it's been blown out of proportion and way more people have had it than. anyone realizes.Originally posted by FusionIf a car is the epitome of freedom, than an electric car is house arrest with your wife titty fucking your next door neighbor.
The Desire to Save Humanity is Always a False Front for the Urge to Rule it- H. L. Mencken
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants.
William Pitt-
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Originally posted by mrsleeve View PostWhat's needed is and antibody test kit that fast and cheap to deploy and maunfacture. To start test vast swaths to the general population. That will tell us just how many people have already had this and recovered and never sought medical help. That will give us a better Idea of just how large the mortality rate is, I suspect this bug has been running rampant in the US for much longer than the last 2 months.
In S. Korea it took a massive public event before it really began with community spread.
Antibody detection may be a test we all take at some point.
Also, this whole thing will be debated for years.
I'm sure there will be a conspiracy theory mantra to go along with it like "jet fuel doesn't melt steel beams"
I do things.
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Originally posted by Melon View Post
I'm sure there will be a conspiracy theory mantra to go along with it like "jet fuel doesn't melt steel beams"Simon
Current Cars:
-1999 996.1 911 4/98 3.8L 6-Speed, 21st Century Beetle
Make R3V Great Again -2020
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Jesus this again.... You dont have to melt steel to weaken it to the point of failure with intense heat when its under 80+ % of working load ;)Originally posted by FusionIf a car is the epitome of freedom, than an electric car is house arrest with your wife titty fucking your next door neighbor.
The Desire to Save Humanity is Always a False Front for the Urge to Rule it- H. L. Mencken
Necessity is the plea for every infringement of human freedom. It is the argument of tyrants.
William Pitt-
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